When considering the opening of a new gas station, one of the most important steps a business owner must take is evaluating the potential demand for fuel. This is where fuel demand forecasting becomes not just a helpful tool, but a crucial component of the site analysis process.
Here’s why fuel usage forecast should be at the top of your checklist:
1. Optimized fuel ordering: With an accurate diesel and gasoline demand forecast, you can adjust fuel ordering from distributors. Forecasting tells you exactly how much fuel to stock, ensuring you never overbuy or risk running low on stock. This keeps your operations efficient and cost-effective.
2. Data-backed investment decision: By understanding local fuel demand trends, traffic patterns, and driver’s behavior, you can make a well-informed decision on whether a site will generate the returns you’re expecting.
3. Long-term growth: Opening a gas station is a big investment, and forecasting fuel demand for at least a 5-year period ensures that your new station can grow with the market, maximizing profitability over time.
Ticon sales projection and feasibility study reports help business owners make informed decisions by forecasting how much fuel will be needed in the new location, and how different fuel types (gasoline, diesel) will be consumed by local or transit population.
Advanced tools for fuel demand forecasting
Since 2017, we’ve been providing the most accurate traffic data insights for gas station and c-store site selection and analysis. Our expertise goes beyond site evaluation - we know exactly how to calculate a sales forecast for a gas station business. That’s why we developed the advanced tool for diesel and gas fuel demand forecasting, powered by two critical factors.
• Real location traffic volumes: This precise and reliable traffic data is the foundation of understanding how much vehicles pass your location daily - whether it's cars or trucks.
• Visitor rates based on AI algorithms: By analyzing driver behavior and traffic patterns, we estimate the number of vehicles that will stop at your location for shopping.
By combining these data sources, we’ve developed a model that predicts demand for both gas and diesel. The AI model accounts for the types of vehicles (cars vs. trucks) on the road, helping to determine which fuel type will have the highest demand at your site.
Fig. 1. Monthly Fuel Demand
Our forecasting doesn’t stop with just immediate demand. We analyze market and demographic trends to provide demand predictions for up to 5 years into the future. This long-term outlook allows you to plan for growth and adjust your strategy as the local population evolves, ensuring that your gas station stays ahead of demand.
Fig. 2. 5-Year Fuel Demand Forecast
Don't commit to a site without Ticon - ensure you're making the best investment decisions, backed by data. We offer fast & accurate reporting for any address across the U.S.
